SimplicityTheory
Simplicity, Complexity, Unexpectedness, Cognition, Probability, Information by Jean-Louis Dessalles
(created 31 December 2008, updated February 2026)
Prominent places are simple and make events more unexpected. 22 July 2003: a minor blaze in an electrical cabinet at the third floor of the Eiffel Tower was reported in the national news. Events happening close to prominent places are more unexpected and thus more newsworthy. Why? And how much more? By definition, unexpectedness U is the difference between generation complexity and description complexity: Cw – C.
C(x) < C(L*x) = C(L) + C(x|L)
C(x|L) = log2(πdL2/a)
C(x|L) = log2 (vL/vx)
U(x) > log2 (Ve/vL) – C(L)
L0 = argmin[ C(L) + 2 log2(dL) ] The picture below shows a map of Paris with the main monuments ranked according to the number of tourist visits. Each monument would be used by a tourist as a landmark within the zone of corresponding colour. The influence of a monument diminishes as log2 r (where r is the rank of the monument in the list) and twice the logarithm of the distance to the point. The largest zone is the ego zone in black (displayed in successive positions if you see it moving). Outside the coloured zones, no landmark is used except the city of Paris itself.
Dessalles, J-L. (2008). Coincidences and the encounter problem: A formal account. In B. C. Love, K. McRae & V. M. Sloutsky (Eds.), Proceedings of the 30th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 2134-2139. Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society. Dessalles, J-L. (2008). La pertinence et ses origines cognitives - Nouvelles théories. Paris: Hermes-Science Publications. Dimulescu, A. & Dessalles, J-L. (2009). Understanding narrative interest: Some evidence on the role of unexpectedness. In N. A. Taatgen & H. van Rijn (Eds.), Proceedings of the 31st Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, 1734-1739. Amsterdam, NL: Cognitive Science Society.


The "Eiffel Tower" effect (landmark)
Consider the prominence of places. A man jumps from a hotel window. News? Yes, but vastly more so if he leaps from the top of the Eiffel Tower, the Washington Monument, the Statue of Liberty or Niagara falls. An event in an ordinary house is less likely to see print than an event in the White House. Monte Carlo, the Riviera, Death Valley, Hollywood, Las Vegas, Miami Beach, the Loop, the Golden Triangle, Times Square, Broadway and the Bowery are further examples of places instantly recognized or imagined by everyone.
(Warren 1934/1959:21)

Description complexity C

Bibliography
